5.03.2008

Another Myth Busted


There is an interesting piece in the NY Times today. It is a story and graph by Charles Blow, in which he analyzes the NY Times/CBS poll data showing favorable/unfavorable rating among whites and blacks. It dispels the Clinton/media narrative that Obama has lost the white vote:

The question is this: Have white Democrats soured on Obama? Apparently not. Although his unfavorable rating from the group is up five percentage points since last summer in polls conducted by The New York Times and CBS News, his favorable rating is up just as much.

On the other hand, black Democrats’ opinion of Hillary Clinton has deteriorated substantially (her favorable rating among them is down 36 percentage points over the same period). While a favorable opinion doesn’t necessarily translate into a vote, this should still give the Clinton's (and the superdelegates) pause. Electability cuts both ways.

So there it is: Clinton is in a staggering free-fall among African-American voters, her favorability is down 36 points while 17 percent view her more negatively than before, while Obama’s favorable and negative ratings among whites have paired at five point increases even with the Rev. Wright flap. He is actually more popular today among white voters than he ever was prior to the beginning of the primary season. Blow then goes on to say what nobody else in the media had bothered to:


If Hillary Clinton should defy the odds (and the current math) and secure the nomination, she would be hard-pressed to defeat John McCain without the enthusiastic support of black voters, stalwarts of the Democratic base.
African Americans have every right to be pissed with the Clinton's. They have repeatedly injected the race card into the primary fight. They have disparaged and dismissed Obama at every turn. They have used dog whistles (Farrakhan, Wright) tactics to invoke fear and doubt about his character. Why would or should African Americans get behind Clinton if she were to somehow get the nomination. The Clinton's have shown their true colors and have alienated the very same people that rallied behind Bill during his impeachment.

I know that there are some who would argue that the support that Obama is getting from African Americans is like some kind of discrimination. I don’t buy that. Black people voting for Barack Obama because he’s black is not the same thing as white people NOT voting for Obama because he’s black. For white people not to vote for him ONLY because he’s black, means they are racist assholes. And the same holds true for all of those old white women that are vigorously supporting Clinton. I don't think they are doing it to discriminate against Obama. They feel that this is their first chance to vote for a viable woman candidate. The difference between the two groups (blacks and older women) being that come November those women will vote for Obama because he has not thrown them under the bus like the Clinton's have done to black America.

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