11.04.2008

My Final Predictions

Polls start closing in Indiana in ten minutes.  Here is how I think the election will play out:  Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida, and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana.  He can still pull off wins in the Hoosier state, but I'm not going to hold my breath.  I'm guessing that the wins will translate into a popular vote win of about 6%. 

For the Senate races I think that the Dem will come up just short of their goal of 60 seats, picking up eight.  I think they will pick up Virginia, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Alaska, Colorado, Oregon, North Carolina and (cross my fingers) Al Franken in Minnesota.  There's also a very good chance that there will be a December special election in Georgia, where a runoff election is held in the event that no candidate receives 50 percent plus one of the vote.

In the House I'm sure that the Dems will make more big gains.  We'll end up with more than a 100 seat majority. 

Time will tell!!!

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